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The valuation of industrial property with declining operation returns

机译:经营收益递减的工业产权估值

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摘要

The determination of value of an industrial property is important for assessing ad valorem tax, insurance, management, sales, etc. Unfortunately, in the majority of the situations, market evidences, which are the most reliable evidences of value, do not exist. Therefore, the objective of this study is to develop a procedure to aid in the estimation of the value of such industrial units or groups of properties;Normally, sum of the present worth of future after-tax-cash-flow (ATCF) is a good criterion for determining the value of a property. Unfortunately, the ATCF, which in valuation procedures is known as operation returns, usually decline with the passage of time. With this basic assumption of declining operation returns, a simple model known as the Y model was proposed to represent the actual decline of operation returns;In order to test the validity of the Y model, data were collected and analyzed using the modified Delta method. The modified Delta method assumes that the factors that are responsible for the decline in operation returns of either unit or group properties are the decreasing service intensity and the increasing repair and maintenance costs. Unfortunately, data on the above factors are sometimes hard to find, especially for group properties. These can, however, be replaced by similar factors, namely, the decreasing gross operating revenue and the increasing operating costs;Using the above method and model, values of industrial properties at different ages were determined. These values compared well with the actual market evidences verifying the validity of the proposed Y model and modified Delta method for valuation of similar unit or group industrial properties. Thus, a depreciation method within the present worth principle that systematically recognizes the declining operation returns over the lives of industrial properties was developed in this study.
机译:确定工业财产的价值对于评估从价税,保险,管理,销售等非常重要。不幸的是,在大多数情况下,不存在作为价值的最可靠证据的市场证据。因此,本研究的目的是开发一种程序来帮助估算此类工业单位或一组财产的价值;通常,未来税后现金流量(ATCF)的现值总和为确定财产价值的良好标准。不幸的是,在估值程序中称为运营收益的ATCF通常会随着时间的流逝而下降。在此基础上,假设经营收益递减,提出了一个简单的模型Y模型来表示实际的经营收益下降;为检验Y模型的有效性,使用改进的Delta方法收集并分析了数据。修改后的Delta方法假设导致单位或集团资产的运营收益下降的因素是服务强度的下降以及维修成本的增加。不幸的是,有时很难找到上述因素的数据,尤其是对于群体属性而言。但是,可以用类似的因素来代替这些因素,即总营业收入的减少和营业成本的增加;使用上述方法和模型,可以确定不同年龄段的工业产权价值。这些值与实际的市场证据进行了很好的比较,从而证明了所提出的Y模型和改进的Delta方法对相似单位或集团工业财产进行估值的有效性。因此,在本研究中开发了一种在当前价值原则内的折旧方法,该折旧方法可以系统地识别出在工业产权的整个生命周期中经营收益的下降。

著录项

  • 作者

    Yoo, Il Geon;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 1985
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en
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